Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Tavares 53.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 55.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Boyle
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Boyle
Tavares
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Boyle
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
5
0
Boyle
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
54.0% (1,077)
-1.4%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
54.5% (275)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
50.0% (18)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Boyle
Tavares
Home
52.4% (315)
56.8% (655)
Away
49.3% (367)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Boyle
Tavares
P1
51.1%
54.1%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
48.3%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |