Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Tavares 53.8% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.1%
Defensive zone
Little 83.9%
Neutral zone
Little 61.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Little
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Little
Tavares
Last 10: Little 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
8
Little
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Little
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
54.0% (1,077)
-3.4%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
54.5% (275)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
50.0% (18)
-6.7%
On power play, Little has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Little is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Little shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Little
Tavares
Home
51.6% (628)
56.8% (655)
Away
51.0% (686)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Little
Tavares
P1
52.0%
54.1%
P2
49.3%
53.9%
P3
53.0%
54.3%
OT
38.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |