Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Tavares 52.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.7%
Defensive zone
Froese 64.7%
Neutral zone
Froese 58.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Froese
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Froese
Tavares
Last 7: Froese 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Froese
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
0
Froese
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
52.9% (1,239)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.7% (309)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
50.0% (178)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Froese
Tavares
Home
47.8% (159)
55.0% (864)
Away
41.5% (193)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Froese
Tavares
P1
41.2%
51.8%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
49.5%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |