Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Tavares 53.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 66.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Paquette
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paquette
Tavares
Last 5: Paquette 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Paquette
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
54.0% (1,077)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
54.5% (275)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
50.0% (18)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Paquette is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Paquette shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Paquette
Tavares
Home
52.1% (167)
56.8% (655)
Away
46.6% (116)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Paquette
Tavares
P1
48.8%
54.1%
P2
51.0%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |