Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Guttman wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 51.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Guttman
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Guttman
Tavares
Last 5: Guttman 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guttman
1
0
Guttman
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Guttman
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (161)
57.5% (914)
-6.6%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
60.5% (309)
+14.5%
On power play, Guttman has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Guttman is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Guttman shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Guttman
Tavares
Home
59.3% (59)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.2% (110)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Guttman
Tavares
P1
46.2%
58.6%
P2
51.8%
57.8%
P3
60.4%
58.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
52.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |