Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Guttman on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Guttman wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guttman 50.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Guttman
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Guttman
Tavares
Last 8: Guttman 5-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Guttman
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guttman
3
1
Guttman
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guttman
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (111)
59.2% (1,035)
-6.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
60.0% (310)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.9% (7)
-26.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Guttman is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Guttman shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Guttman
Tavares
Home
55.9% (59)
57.5% (668)
Away
44.3% (61)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Guttman
Tavares
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
51.1%
60.1%
P3
50.0%
61.0%
OT
0.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
58.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guttman
44.0%▼
51.0%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Cole Guttman |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |