Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Tavares 49.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Backes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Backes
Tavares
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Backes
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backes
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Backes
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
48.7% (871)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
49.8% (243)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
60.0% (15)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Tavares is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Backes
Tavares
Home
53.3% (599)
50.0% (542)
Away
50.2% (602)
48.2% (587)
By Period
Backes
Tavares
P1
53.5%
52.2%
P2
50.3%
50.0%
P3
51.5%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2014 | OT | 03:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |