Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 73-70 in 143 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Krejci
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
70
(143 meetings)
73
70
Krejci
Tavares
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
24
Krejci
Tavares
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
31
25
Krejci
Tavares
56 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
25
21
Krejci
Tavares
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.4%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
56.5% (4,283)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
50.6% (620)
-1.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Krejci
Tavares
Home
53.1% (5,660)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Krejci
Tavares
P1
50.7%
55.0%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
50.2%
54.1%
OT
53.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | David Krejci |