Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.7% vs Tavares 52.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 73.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.7%
Neutral zone
Krejci 60.2%
Result
David Krejci favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Krejci
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Krejci
Tavares
Last 5: Krejci 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Krejci
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Krejci
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (826)
52.9% (1,239)
-0.6%
Power Play
48.8% (121)
54.7% (309)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
50.0% (178)
+5.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Krejci is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Krejci shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Krejci
Tavares
Home
54.0% (459)
55.0% (864)
Away
50.0% (508)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Krejci
Tavares
P1
52.7%
51.8%
P2
50.6%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |