Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.6% vs Tavares 49.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 67.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Grant
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Grant
Tavares
Last 5: Grant 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Grant
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (104)
48.7% (871)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
60.0% (15)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Grant is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Grant shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Grant
Tavares
Home
51.2% (86)
50.0% (542)
Away
54.7% (64)
48.2% (587)
By Period
Grant
Tavares
P1
53.3%
52.2%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
52.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
73.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |