Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Tavares 57.7% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 86.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 84.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Pettersson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Pettersson
Tavares
Last 10: Pettersson 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Pettersson
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Pettersson
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Pettersson
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
57.5% (914)
-13.4%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
60.5% (309)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
59.1% (22)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Tavares
Home
45.0% (489)
61.0% (661)
Away
43.7% (508)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Pettersson
Tavares
P1
46.0%
58.6%
P2
45.7%
57.8%
P3
42.2%
58.4%
OT
23.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |