Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (54% H2H, 57 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 90-89 in 179 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Staal
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
90
-
89
(179 meetings)
90
89
Staal
Tavares
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
31
34
Staal
Tavares
65 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
28
29
Staal
Tavares
57 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
31
26
Staal
Tavares
57 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
56.5% (4,283)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.6% (620)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Staal
Tavares
Home
52.6% (6,558)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Staal
Tavares
P1
50.0%
55.0%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
55.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |