Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Nielsen wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Tavares 50.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 61.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 78.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 73.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Nielsen
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Nielsen
Tavares
Last 10: Nielsen 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
2
Nielsen
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
48.7% (1,202)
+5.5%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
59.3% (305)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
47.9% (121)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Tavares
Home
55.3% (608)
52.1% (841)
Away
52.3% (606)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Nielsen
Tavares
P1
54.1%
52.2%
P2
52.6%
50.7%
P3
54.0%
49.7%
OT
65.4%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 4, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |