Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Tavares 59.8% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 76.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
McCann
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McCann
Tavares
Last 5: McCann 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
60.9% (1,043)
-14.9%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
60.4% (278)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
47.6% (21)
+14.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
McCann
Tavares
Home
45.1% (244)
63.5% (684)
Away
46.0% (248)
57.6% (658)
By Period
McCann
Tavares
P1
42.5%
60.3%
P2
45.9%
60.4%
P3
47.8%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Jared McCann |