Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Tavares 59.8% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 72.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 80.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 76.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Veleno
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Veleno
Tavares
Last 8: Veleno 1-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Veleno
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Veleno
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
60.9% (1,043)
-11.8%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
60.4% (278)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.6% (21)
-30.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Veleno
Tavares
Home
44.0% (184)
63.5% (684)
Away
51.1% (276)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Veleno
Tavares
P1
50.8%
60.3%
P2
50.4%
60.4%
P3
43.9%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
92.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |