Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Tavares 58.7% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 70.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 66.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Veleno
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Tavares
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Veleno
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
59.2% (1,035)
-10.8%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
60.0% (310)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
42.9% (7)
+1.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Veleno
Tavares
Home
48.8% (289)
57.5% (668)
Away
49.2% (333)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Veleno
Tavares
P1
46.1%
58.0%
P2
50.9%
60.1%
P3
49.7%
61.0%
OT
66.7%
27.8%
Final 5 min
52.7%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |