Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Tavares 50.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.8%
Defensive zone
Ward 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Ward
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Ward
Tavares
Last 10: Ward 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Ward
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
0
Ward
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
48.7% (1,202)
+4.1%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
59.3% (305)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
47.9% (121)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Ward
Tavares
Home
53.4% (251)
52.1% (841)
Away
43.4% (205)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Ward
Tavares
P1
49.4%
52.2%
P2
46.9%
50.7%
P3
50.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Joel Ward |