John Tavares vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Marchessault 45.9% (+24.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 60.8%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Tavares
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
30.0% (30)
+28.0%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
66.7% (3)
-9.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Tavares shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Tavares
Marchessault
Home
57.8% (614)
33.3% (21)
Away
57.8% (554)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Tavares
Marchessault
P1
58.0%
45.5%
P2
56.9%
25.0%
P3
58.4%
22.2%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%