Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Jokinen 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Tavares
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Jokinen
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
3
Tavares
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
40.3% (72)
+13.7%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
56.8% (132)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
53.4% (58)
-3.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Tavares shoots left. Jokinen is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Tavares
Jokinen
Home
56.8% (655)
58.7% (150)
Away
51.6% (715)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Tavares
Jokinen
P1
54.1%
53.0%
P2
53.9%
46.2%
P3
54.3%
50.6%
OT
54.2%
77.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |