Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Jokinen 54.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 26-21 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.2%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 54.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Tavares
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
21
(47 meetings)
26
21
Tavares
Jokinen
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
16
10
Tavares
Jokinen
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
8
9
Tavares
Jokinen
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
53.8% (1,931)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.9% (506)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
54.5% (279)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Home / Away
Tavares
Jokinen
Home
56.1% (10,503)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Tavares
Jokinen
P1
55.0%
53.4%
P2
54.1%
54.4%
P3
54.1%
53.7%
OT
55.9%
66.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |