Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Jokinen 51.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 59.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.0%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 52.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Tavares
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Tavares
Jokinen
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
3
Tavares
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Jokinen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
46.3% (95)
+2.4%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
61.5% (39)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
70.0% (10)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Jokinen is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Tavares
Jokinen
Home
52.1% (841)
50.8% (65)
Away
49.0% (787)
53.2% (79)
By Period
Tavares
Jokinen
P1
52.2%
57.1%
P2
50.7%
47.5%
P3
49.7%
56.5%
OT
37.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
67.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |