Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Porter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Porter 42.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 85.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Tavares
Porter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Tavares
Porter
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Porter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Porter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Porter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Porter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
40.0% (240)
+8.6%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
40.0% (5)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.3% (26)
-9.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Tavares shoots left. Porter is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Tavares
Porter
Home
50.7% (448)
41.0% (134)
Away
48.1% (482)
39.4% (137)
By Period
Tavares
Porter
P1
52.8%
37.3%
P2
51.4%
42.7%
P3
43.7%
40.6%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |