Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Porter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Porter 41.2% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 98.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 82.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Tavares
Porter
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Tavares
Porter
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Porter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Porter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Porter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
3
Tavares
Porter
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
39.2% (469)
+14.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
55.6% (18)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
36.2% (47)
+14.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Porter is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Tavares
Porter
Home
56.1% (10,503)
41.6% (274)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
37.3% (260)
By Period
Tavares
Porter
P1
55.0%
37.1%
P2
54.1%
44.9%
P3
54.1%
36.7%
OT
55.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Kevin Porter |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2011 | OT | 03:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |