Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Rooney 46.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 98.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 74.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Tavares
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Tavares
Rooney
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
0
Tavares
Rooney
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
4
Tavares
Rooney
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Rooney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
46.7% (2,042)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
41.7% (48)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
43.4% (267)
+7.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rooney
Home
56.1% (10,503)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Tavares
Rooney
P1
55.0%
48.1%
P2
54.1%
47.1%
P3
54.1%
43.6%
OT
55.9%
12.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |