Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Rooney 45.8% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Tavares
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Tavares
Rooney
Last 9: Tavares 7-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Rooney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Rooney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
45.5% (367)
+15.4%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
44.4% (9)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
35.7% (28)
+11.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Rooney is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rooney
Home
63.5% (684)
47.5% (219)
Away
57.6% (658)
41.6% (185)
By Period
Tavares
Rooney
P1
60.3%
46.4%
P2
60.4%
46.3%
P3
60.1%
42.0%
OT
92.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |