Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Rooney 47.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.5%
Defensive zone
Rooney 52.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Tavares
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Rooney
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Rooney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
47.8% (324)
+7.0%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
28.6% (7)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
43.9% (41)
+7.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Rooney is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rooney
Home
58.1% (559)
45.5% (198)
Away
52.4% (557)
48.9% (174)
By Period
Tavares
Rooney
P1
57.6%
52.8%
P2
55.5%
43.4%
P3
52.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |