Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Goc 53.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.8%
Defensive zone
Goc 90.3%
Neutral zone
Goc 53.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Tavares
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Goc
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Goc
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Tavares
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
54.5% (512)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
65.0% (20)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
52.3% (153)
+6.5%
On power play, Goc has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Goc is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Tavares
Goc
Home
56.5% (731)
57.2% (383)
Away
47.8% (711)
50.7% (302)
By Period
Tavares
Goc
P1
56.1%
53.9%
P2
50.3%
51.2%
P3
50.5%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |