Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Goc 52.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 36-30 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 73.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Tavares
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
30
(66 meetings)
36
30
Tavares
Goc
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
19
8
Tavares
Goc
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
3
17
Tavares
Goc
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
14
5
Tavares
Goc
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
53.0% (3,301)
+1.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
58.0% (314)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
47.4% (728)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Tavares
Goc
Home
56.1% (10,503)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Tavares
Goc
P1
55.0%
51.9%
P2
54.1%
53.1%
P3
54.1%
52.4%
OT
55.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |