Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.9%). Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Letestu 51.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Tavares
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Tavares
Letestu
Last 7: Tavares 1-6 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Tavares
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Tavares
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
4
Tavares
Letestu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
52.8% (544)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
55.9% (111)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
35.6% (59)
+1.1%
On power play, Letestu has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Tavares shoots left. Letestu is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Tavares
Letestu
Home
52.8% (781)
53.6% (317)
Away
49.9% (804)
50.6% (405)
By Period
Tavares
Letestu
P1
52.8%
51.3%
P2
52.1%
55.4%
P3
48.7%
49.2%
OT
63.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |