Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Letestu 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 33-16 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Letestu 59.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 89.3%
Neutral zone
Letestu 71.0%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Tavares
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
33
(49 meetings)
16
33
Tavares
Letestu
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
8
Tavares
Letestu
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
13
Tavares
Letestu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
5
12
Tavares
Letestu
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
53.3% (4,565)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
56.0% (687)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
44.2% (1,005)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Tavares
Letestu
Home
56.1% (10,503)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Tavares
Letestu
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
54.1%
55.0%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
55.9%
51.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | OT | 02:57 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |