Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.9%). Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Letestu 52.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.7%
Defensive zone
Letestu 86.3%
Neutral zone
Letestu 58.6%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Tavares
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tavares
Letestu
Last 8: Tavares 5-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Tavares
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Letestu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
55.5% (488)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
46.7% (15)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
41.0% (100)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Tavares shoots left. Letestu is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Tavares
Letestu
Home
56.5% (731)
55.9% (297)
Away
47.8% (711)
50.0% (306)
By Period
Tavares
Letestu
P1
56.1%
49.2%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |