Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.4%). Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Letestu 50.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.3%
Defensive zone
Letestu 69.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Tavares
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Tavares
Letestu
Last 9: Tavares 2-7 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
3
Tavares
Letestu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
3
Tavares
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
50.9% (582)
-2.2%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
56.8% (125)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
45.0% (189)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Tavares shoots left. Letestu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (669).
Home / Away
Tavares
Letestu
Home
52.1% (841)
48.5% (423)
Away
49.0% (787)
52.2% (473)
By Period
Tavares
Letestu
P1
52.2%
54.0%
P2
50.7%
50.5%
P3
49.7%
46.9%
OT
37.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | OT | 02:57 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |