Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Hanzal 54.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 90.2%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 86.1%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Tavares
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Hanzal
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
54.1% (846)
-5.4%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
62.2% (180)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
39.7% (73)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Hanzal is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hanzal
Home
50.0% (542)
56.3% (528)
Away
48.2% (587)
52.9% (571)
By Period
Tavares
Hanzal
P1
52.2%
58.2%
P2
50.0%
49.5%
P3
45.1%
56.3%
OT
48.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |