Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.7%). Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Hanzal 53.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.0%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 67.4%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 57.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Tavares
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Tavares
Hanzal
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
5
Tavares
Hanzal
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
10
Tavares
Hanzal
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Tavares
Hanzal
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
54.0% (5,547)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
56.7% (1,179)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
46.0% (644)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hanzal
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Tavares
Hanzal
P1
55.0%
54.9%
P2
54.1%
53.6%
P3
54.1%
52.4%
OT
55.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |