Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Hanzal 54.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Tavares
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tavares
Hanzal
Last 6: Tavares 1-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Tavares
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Tavares
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Tavares
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
56.7% (321)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
60.6% (33)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
46.3% (80)
+3.7%
On power play, Hanzal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Hanzal is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hanzal
Home
55.0% (864)
58.6% (220)
Away
50.8% (862)
51.4% (214)
By Period
Tavares
Hanzal
P1
51.8%
58.3%
P2
51.4%
56.7%
P3
54.5%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |