Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Necas 41.9% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Necas leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Necas 83.1%
Defensive zone
Necas 79.4%
Neutral zone
Necas 83.5%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Tavares
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Tavares
Necas
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
2
Tavares
Necas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
2
Tavares
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
2
3
Tavares
Necas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
40.7% (797)
+13.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
40.0% (135)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
54.1% (37)
-3.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Home / Away
Tavares
Necas
Home
56.1% (10,503)
39.2% (492)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Tavares
Necas
P1
55.0%
39.9%
P2
54.1%
40.6%
P3
54.1%
43.3%
OT
55.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |