Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.8%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Reasoner 53.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.2%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 78.0%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 51.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Tavares
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Tavares
Reasoner
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
11
4
Tavares
Reasoner
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
8
Tavares
Reasoner
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Reasoner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
55.7% (1,642)
-1.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
56.9% (72)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
45.5% (413)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Tavares
Reasoner
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Tavares
Reasoner
P1
55.0%
53.1%
P2
54.1%
53.1%
P3
54.1%
55.3%
OT
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 21, 2011 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |