Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Cullen 50.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 72.6%
Neutral zone
Cullen 52.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Tavares
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Cullen
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
49.8% (482)
+3.2%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
60.0% (5)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
50.3% (153)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Cullen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (422).
Home / Away
Tavares
Cullen
Home
57.5% (762)
53.4% (311)
Away
51.4% (766)
46.8% (329)
By Period
Tavares
Cullen
P1
54.5%
51.1%
P2
53.2%
47.9%
P3
55.5%
51.8%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |