Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.6%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 26 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Cullen 53.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 35-34 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 72.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 52.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Tavares
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
34
(69 meetings)
35
34
Tavares
Cullen
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
5
Tavares
Cullen
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
6
19
Tavares
Cullen
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
8
10
Tavares
Cullen
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
54.8% (5,371)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
52.3% (421)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.0% (953)
+2.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
Tavares
Cullen
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Tavares
Cullen
P1
55.0%
54.7%
P2
54.1%
52.8%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
55.9%
62.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 24, 2017 | OT | 03:17 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |