Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Hendricks 54.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 67.4%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 94.5%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 83.1%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Tavares
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Tavares
Hendricks
Last 9: Tavares 7-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Hendricks
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
55.3% (197)
-6.7%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
50.0% (2)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
61.7% (60)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Tavares shoots left. Hendricks is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hendricks
Home
50.7% (448)
55.3% (123)
Away
48.1% (482)
58.1% (136)
By Period
Tavares
Hendricks
P1
52.8%
58.7%
P2
51.4%
49.5%
P3
43.7%
63.2%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |