Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Hendricks 53.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.2%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 78.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 50.8%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Tavares
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Tavares
Hendricks
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Hendricks
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Tavares
Hendricks
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Hendricks
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
55.0% (1,616)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
52.6% (38)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.4% (446)
+2.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hendricks
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Tavares
Hendricks
P1
55.0%
53.2%
P2
54.1%
53.3%
P3
54.1%
53.6%
OT
55.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |