Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Hendricks 49.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.9%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 60.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.7%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Tavares
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Hendricks
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Hendricks
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
50.3% (326)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
60.0% (5)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
46.5% (127)
+3.5%
On power play, Hendricks has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Hendricks is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hendricks
Home
55.0% (864)
47.1% (210)
Away
50.8% (862)
51.2% (248)
By Period
Tavares
Hendricks
P1
51.8%
50.0%
P2
51.4%
49.4%
P3
54.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |