Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.1% vs Stajan 48.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Tavares
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Tavares
Stajan
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Tavares
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
1
Tavares
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (871)
49.2% (886)
-0.5%
Power Play
49.8% (243)
37.1% (35)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
44.6% (175)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Tavares is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Tavares shoots left. Stajan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stajan
Home
50.0% (542)
51.2% (572)
Away
48.2% (587)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Tavares
Stajan
P1
52.2%
48.4%
P2
50.0%
45.2%
P3
45.1%
50.8%
OT
48.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |