Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Stajan 49.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 63.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Tavares
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
10
(32 meetings)
22
10
Tavares
Stajan
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
1
Tavares
Stajan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
7
Tavares
Stajan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
2
Tavares
Stajan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
43.2% (176)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
46.1% (864)
+4.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stajan
Home
56.1% (10,503)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Tavares
Stajan
P1
55.0%
50.3%
P2
54.1%
48.5%
P3
54.1%
49.4%
OT
55.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |