Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Domi 48.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 55.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 65.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 56.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Tavares
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Tavares
Domi
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
3
Tavares
Domi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Tavares
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
3
Tavares
Domi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
48.1% (4,296)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
53.4% (633)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.8% (41)
+1.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Tavares
Domi
Home
56.1% (10,503)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Tavares
Domi
P1
55.0%
48.7%
P2
54.1%
48.3%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
55.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |