Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Domi 53.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 68.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Tavares
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Tavares
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
53.8% (847)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
52.1% (96)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
57.1% (7)
+2.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Tavares
Domi
Home
61.0% (661)
53.9% (445)
Away
55.3% (584)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Tavares
Domi
P1
58.6%
51.4%
P2
57.8%
55.3%
P3
58.4%
54.7%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
63.4%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |