Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Domi 49.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 65.9%
Defensive zone
Domi 63.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Tavares
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Domi
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Tavares
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Tavares
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Domi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
47.2% (653)
+7.6%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
57.3% (124)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
54.5% (11)
-2.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Tavares
Domi
Home
58.1% (559)
49.0% (400)
Away
52.4% (557)
48.7% (388)
By Period
Tavares
Domi
P1
57.6%
48.6%
P2
55.5%
49.6%
P3
52.0%
48.8%
OT
80.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |