Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.1%). Look for Lapierre on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Lapierre 51.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.4%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 75.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Tavares
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tavares
Lapierre
Last 5: Tavares 1-4 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
2
Tavares
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Tavares
Lapierre
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
1
Tavares
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
51.2% (422)
+0.3%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
66.7% (6)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
57.4% (54)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Tavares is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Tavares shoots left. Lapierre is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lapierre
Home
52.8% (781)
54.4% (239)
Away
49.9% (804)
49.8% (243)
By Period
Tavares
Lapierre
P1
52.8%
49.4%
P2
52.1%
52.8%
P3
48.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |