Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Lapierre 51.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.9%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 90.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 67.3%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Tavares
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Tavares
Lapierre
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
2
Tavares
Lapierre
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
5
Tavares
Lapierre
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
2
Tavares
Lapierre
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
52.9% (2,085)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
53.1% (32)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
43.1% (415)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Lapierre is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,731).
Home / Away
Tavares
Lapierre
Home
56.1% (10,503)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Tavares
Lapierre
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
54.1%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
51.1%
OT
55.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2011 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |