John Tavares vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 85.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Tavares
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tavares
Rasmussen
Last 9: Tavares 6-3 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Rasmussen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
2
Tavares
Rasmussen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
46.8% (248)
+11.2%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
62.5% (8)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
43.8% (16)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rasmussen
Home
57.8% (614)
50.0% (98)
Away
57.8% (554)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Tavares
Rasmussen
P1
58.0%
40.2%
P2
56.9%
55.8%
P3
58.4%
43.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |